Faster, Higher, Hotter
Emissions still have not peaked and are unlikely to be significantly lower in 2030 than 2020; trend warming of 1.5°C is likely this decade; the emissions trend and reduction commitments are nowhere near keeping warming to 2°C; and once the full range of feedbacks, non-linearities and cascades are taking into account, warming may well exceed 3°C this century, a level of warming that will likely result in climate-driven collapse of ecological and social systems.
Highlights
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System-level change and tipping points are happening faster than forecast , with a number of crucial climate system elements already passed tipping at the current 1.2°C of warming.
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Risks are cascading, non-linear and underestimated; prudent risk management requires consideration of the bad-to-worst-case scenarios.
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Cooling the planet is vital if vital if Earth is to be kept below a level of warming where more system tipping points are activated and cascade into an avalanche of warming and system feedbacks that human actions will no longer have the capacity to rein in.
AI generated version
The global climate crisis is reaching a critical point, as emissions continue to rise and warming trends are expected to exceed the goals set forth in the Paris Agreement. Recent scientific research has shown that system-level change and tipping points are happening faster than forecasted, with a number of crucial climate system elements already passing tipping points at the current 1.2°C of warming. Risks are cascading, non-linear, and underestimated, requiring prudent risk management that considers bad-to-worst-case scenarios. To avoid the collapse of ecological and social systems, cooling the planet is vital to keep the Earth below a level of warming where more system tipping points are activated and cascade into an avalanche of warming and system feedbacks that human actions will no longer have the capacity to rein in.