Understated Climate models

 

Understated Climate models

All models have a weaker trend than the observed NASA trend.

The most notable result is that the CERES data show a higher SW [shortwave = increased aborbed sunlight] EEI [Earth's Energy Imbalance] trend per degree warming than any of the CMIP6 models

This shows that climate models that give a low warming from increases in greenhouse gases do not match satellite measurements. This means that models with a stronger warming response to greenhouse gas increases are more realistic.

Models with climate sensitivity lower than 2.9°C show significantly smaller increases in absorbed solar radiation than that measured by CERES.

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#Climate change #Climate Modeling